Forwarded from Glassnode
In our latest Market Pulse edition, we build a #Bitcoin overheated / cooled-off tool in Workbench using:
- Stablecoin supplies and SSR ratio
- Unrealized profit and loss
- The MVRV Ratio
Market Pulse reports are a weekly research and analysis series by our analysts, which seeks to achieve several goals:
- Market insights you can't find anywhere else
- Demonstrate how we use Glassnode tools
- Provide unique edge with custom Workbench charts
Market pulse reports are available exclusively for Advanced and Pro members.
With our ⚡️Cyber Week Deal ⚡️ live, we have taken 40% off our Advanced plan until the 29-Nov.
Be sure to take advantage, and make sure to ask our analyst team any questions you have on Forum.
Read the latest Market Pulse on Glassnode Forum.
- Stablecoin supplies and SSR ratio
- Unrealized profit and loss
- The MVRV Ratio
Market Pulse reports are a weekly research and analysis series by our analysts, which seeks to achieve several goals:
- Market insights you can't find anywhere else
- Demonstrate how we use Glassnode tools
- Provide unique edge with custom Workbench charts
Market pulse reports are available exclusively for Advanced and Pro members.
With our ⚡️Cyber Week Deal ⚡️ live, we have taken 40% off our Advanced plan until the 29-Nov.
Be sure to take advantage, and make sure to ask our analyst team any questions you have on Forum.
Read the latest Market Pulse on Glassnode Forum.
Forwarded from Glassnode
Our latest video report is live: Characterizing a #Bitcoin Capitulation Event.
In this edition, we analyze:
- Observations of market behaviour after major sell-off events.
- Assessing the scale of the recent FTX capitulation event.
- Measuring the damage done using Realized Loss metrics.
- Metrics which describe statistically significant deviations.
Watch The Week On-chain Video Report
In this edition, we analyze:
- Observations of market behaviour after major sell-off events.
- Assessing the scale of the recent FTX capitulation event.
- Measuring the damage done using Realized Loss metrics.
- Metrics which describe statistically significant deviations.
Watch The Week On-chain Video Report
YouTube
The Week On-chain: Characterizing Bitcoin Capitulation Events - Week 48 (Bitcoin onchain Analysis)
⚡Cyber Week Deal: 40% Off Advanced Plans⚡ https://glassno.de/cyber_2022
As the dust settles after the FTX debacle, a key question is whether the sell-off can be better characterized as a simple continuation of the bearish trend, or instead a trigger of a…
As the dust settles after the FTX debacle, a key question is whether the sell-off can be better characterized as a simple continuation of the bearish trend, or instead a trigger of a…
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin and #Ethereum markets opened the new year...by staying asleep.
Realized volatility for the two major assets fell to extreme lows, which has historically preceded explosive moves in either direction
More in our first Week On-chain edition of 2023.
Realized volatility for the two major assets fell to extreme lows, which has historically preceded explosive moves in either direction
More in our first Week On-chain edition of 2023.
Forwarded from Glassnode
As #Bitcoin rallies to $18.2k, over 13% of the Circulating Supply has returned to profit.
The observed sharp move upwards in this metric helps to confirm that a large volume of $BTC was acquired between $16.5k and $18.2k.
Live Chart
The observed sharp move upwards in this metric helps to confirm that a large volume of $BTC was acquired between $16.5k and $18.2k.
Live Chart
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin markets display a fascinating and bizarre level of consistency between cycles.
In the 2018-29 bear, $BTC traded below the 200DMA 🔵 for 386-days.
With last weeks rally, $BTC is back above the 200DMA, having spent 381-days trading below it.
📊Live Chart
In the 2018-29 bear, $BTC traded below the 200DMA 🔵 for 386-days.
With last weeks rally, $BTC is back above the 200DMA, having spent 381-days trading below it.
📊Live Chart
Forwarded from Glassnode
After one of the least volatile months in history, #Bitcoin has seen an explosive rally back above $21k.
In our latest piece, we analyse the rally and the key pricing and valuation models $BTC has broken above.
Read more in The Week On-chain
In our latest piece, we analyse the rally and the key pricing and valuation models $BTC has broken above.
Read more in The Week On-chain
Forwarded from Glassnode
For the first time since June, #Bitcoin has seen a greater volume of Profits realized on-chain than losses.
During bear cycles, this tends to act as a psychological level where investors sell at, or near break-even, creating resistance.
A convincing break above 1.0 for Realized P/L Ratio, or aSOPR has historically signalled a cycle regime shift is underway.
A successful retest and bounce of aSOPR from 1.0 is often observed near cycle turning points.
Read our Full Analysis in The Week On-chain
During bear cycles, this tends to act as a psychological level where investors sell at, or near break-even, creating resistance.
A convincing break above 1.0 for Realized P/L Ratio, or aSOPR has historically signalled a cycle regime shift is underway.
A successful retest and bounce of aSOPR from 1.0 is often observed near cycle turning points.
Read our Full Analysis in The Week On-chain
Forwarded from Glassnode
The total $WBTC Balance wrapped on #Ethereum has declined by over 35% since the collapse of the LUNA/UST project
At the peak, there were 285k #Bitcoin wrapped on #Ethereum, and this has since fallen by 101.55k $WBTC over the course of 2022
📊 Live Chart
At the peak, there were 285k #Bitcoin wrapped on #Ethereum, and this has since fallen by 101.55k $WBTC over the course of 2022
📊 Live Chart
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin markets have seen the strongest monthly price performance since Oct-2021.
This rally is fuelled by both spot demand, and a sequence of short squeezes
We explore these dynamics across derivatives markets, and spot exchanges in our latest edition of The Week On-chain.
This rally is fuelled by both spot demand, and a sequence of short squeezes
We explore these dynamics across derivatives markets, and spot exchanges in our latest edition of The Week On-chain.
Forwarded from Glassnode
Our latest Week On-chain Video report is live.
In this report, we analyze the #Bitcoin rally above $23k from the perspective of:
- Three Waves of Short Squeezes
- Leverage in futures markets
- Spot Exchange $BTC flows
- Average acquisition prices
Watch the latest edition of The Week On-chain
In this report, we analyze the #Bitcoin rally above $23k from the perspective of:
- Three Waves of Short Squeezes
- Leverage in futures markets
- Spot Exchange $BTC flows
- Average acquisition prices
Watch the latest edition of The Week On-chain
YouTube
The Week On-chain: Shorts Squeeze off Spot Demand - Week 5, 2023 (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis)
🐻 Recovering From a Bitcoin Bear Dashboard: https://glassno.de/recoveringbear
🚀 Start your Glassnode Advanced free trial today: https://glassno.de/3QFXu0S
🏦 Exchanges Dashboard: https://glassno.de/3RimWJY
💸 Realized Profit Loss Dashboard: https://glassno.de/3H6c8dz…
🚀 Start your Glassnode Advanced free trial today: https://glassno.de/3QFXu0S
🏦 Exchanges Dashboard: https://glassno.de/3RimWJY
💸 Realized Profit Loss Dashboard: https://glassno.de/3H6c8dz…
Forwarded from Glassnode
After the powerful #Bitcoin rally in Jan, several on-chain oscillators have returned to an equilibrium position.
This aligns with observations from previous bear markets, where a turning of the market tides was underway.
Read more in our latest The Week On-chain newsletter
This aligns with observations from previous bear markets, where a turning of the market tides was underway.
Read more in our latest The Week On-chain newsletter
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin MVRV Ratio is one of the most popular and widely used on-chain metrics. However, much of the power of MVRV is rarely put to use.
The MVRV can be supercharged, and used to find cycle extremes, market trends, and for early warning of cycle peaks.
In our latest research piece, we explore the #Bitcoin MVRV Ratio from several angles:
- Exploring Extreme Values of the MVRV for spotting cycle tops and bottoms.
- MVRV Momentum and how to use the indicator to track macro bull/bear trends.
- Distribution Divergences showing how MVRV often gives advanced warning of cycle tops that are experiencing heavy distribution (sell-side pressure).
Read more in our latest report, and see all live charts in a newly released dashboard
The MVRV can be supercharged, and used to find cycle extremes, market trends, and for early warning of cycle peaks.
In our latest research piece, we explore the #Bitcoin MVRV Ratio from several angles:
- Exploring Extreme Values of the MVRV for spotting cycle tops and bottoms.
- MVRV Momentum and how to use the indicator to track macro bull/bear trends.
- Distribution Divergences showing how MVRV often gives advanced warning of cycle tops that are experiencing heavy distribution (sell-side pressure).
Read more in our latest report, and see all live charts in a newly released dashboard
Forwarded from Glassnode
A set of new dashboards for Mastering the MVRV Ratio are now live for both #Bitcoin and #Ethereum, designed to track market cycles, and extremes.
🟠 Bitcoin dashboard
🔷 Ethereum dashboard
📰 Report on Mastering the MVRV Ratio
🟠 Bitcoin dashboard
🔷 Ethereum dashboard
📰 Report on Mastering the MVRV Ratio
Forwarded from Glassnode
We can model the yearly balance change of #Bitcoin wallet cohorts, and compare to volumes of $BTC mined over the last year.
Both Shrimps (< 1 BTC) and Crabs (1-10 BTC) are at ATH accumulation rates by this metric.
- 🦐 +105% of mined coins
- 🦀 +119% of mined coins
Both of these cohorts have historically been net #Bitcoin accumulators, consistently growing their balance, but also behaving in line with macro cycles.
Of interest is the period from May to December 2021, where Crabs significantly reduced their accumulation until LUNA collapsed
View this metric in our Entity Balance Change Dashboard which is available for our Professional members.
Both Shrimps (< 1 BTC) and Crabs (1-10 BTC) are at ATH accumulation rates by this metric.
- 🦐 +105% of mined coins
- 🦀 +119% of mined coins
Both of these cohorts have historically been net #Bitcoin accumulators, consistently growing their balance, but also behaving in line with macro cycles.
Of interest is the period from May to December 2021, where Crabs significantly reduced their accumulation until LUNA collapsed
View this metric in our Entity Balance Change Dashboard which is available for our Professional members.
Forwarded from Glassnode
Identification of #Bitcoin cycle extremes is tricky business, but investor behaviors do tend to rhyme each cycle.
Our latest report covers a new dashboard design which tracks cycle extremes via confluence of:
- MVRV
- SOPR
- Puell Multiple
- Reserve Risk
Watch our latest video report, and see our new dashboard for Spotting Cycle Extremes.
Our latest report covers a new dashboard design which tracks cycle extremes via confluence of:
- MVRV
- SOPR
- Puell Multiple
- Reserve Risk
Watch our latest video report, and see our new dashboard for Spotting Cycle Extremes.
Forwarded from Glassnode
The topic of #Bitcoin supply concentration is a favourite for critics of the asset.
In our latest research piece, we explore how the smallest HODLers of $BTC, the Shrimp (< 1 $BTC) 🦐 and Crab (< 10 $BTC)🦀 are in fact last cycles largest accumulators.
We assess
- Relative population growth and balance change by wallet cohort.
- Introduce a new metric called Yearly Absorption Rate showing balance change relative to mined supply
- Demonstrate the dispersion of BTC from miners, through exchanges and out to investor cohorts.
Our analysis demonstrates that #Bitcoin supply continues to disperse in time, settling in to smaller entity wallets. Over the 2021-23 cycle, Shrimp and Crab entities absorbed more than 2x the total coins mined, and are growing supply share at the greatest rate in history.
Read our latest piece Shrimp Supply Sink: Revising the Distribution of Bitcoin Supply
In our latest research piece, we explore how the smallest HODLers of $BTC, the Shrimp (< 1 $BTC) 🦐 and Crab (< 10 $BTC)🦀 are in fact last cycles largest accumulators.
We assess
- Relative population growth and balance change by wallet cohort.
- Introduce a new metric called Yearly Absorption Rate showing balance change relative to mined supply
- Demonstrate the dispersion of BTC from miners, through exchanges and out to investor cohorts.
Our analysis demonstrates that #Bitcoin supply continues to disperse in time, settling in to smaller entity wallets. Over the 2021-23 cycle, Shrimp and Crab entities absorbed more than 2x the total coins mined, and are growing supply share at the greatest rate in history.
Read our latest piece Shrimp Supply Sink: Revising the Distribution of Bitcoin Supply
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin has now confidently broken above the Adjusted Realized Price located at $24.6k.
This average cost basis variant excludes the tremendous profit held by lost coins.
The market also recently found support on the classic Realized Price at $19.8k.
📊Live Chart
This average cost basis variant excludes the tremendous profit held by lost coins.
The market also recently found support on the classic Realized Price at $19.8k.
📊Live Chart
Forwarded from Glassnode
The price performance of #Bitcoin has been historically strong, returning 35.8% over the last 7-days.
Similar weekly $BTC performance since 2015 have all been related to bull market conditions, however only Nov 2015 occurred early in the up-trend.
Live Chart
Similar weekly $BTC performance since 2015 have all been related to bull market conditions, however only Nov 2015 occurred early in the up-trend.
Live Chart
Forwarded from Glassnode
#Bitcoin has out-performed this week, rallying 35.8% against a backdrop of challenging conditions for the traditional financial system.
This week, we explore how #Bitcoin appears to be shifting up a gear, and rallying out of deep bear market territory.
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain.
This week, we explore how #Bitcoin appears to be shifting up a gear, and rallying out of deep bear market territory.
Read our analysis in The Week On-chain.
Forwarded from Glassnode
Our latest #Bitcoin onchain analysis report is live, this week focusing on The Price of Time.
We demonstrate how to use exchange flows, realized profits, and coinday destruction to assess profit taking by the market.
Watch more in our latest video report.
We demonstrate how to use exchange flows, realized profits, and coinday destruction to assess profit taking by the market.
Watch more in our latest video report.
YouTube
The Week On-chain: The Price of Bitcoin Time - Week 13, 2023 (Bitcoin Onchain Analysis)
🚀 Start your Glassnode Advanced free trial today: https://glassno.de/3QFXu0S
📟 Spotting Cycle Tops and Bottoms Dashboard: https://glassno.de/cycleextreme
🐻 Recovering From a Bitcoin Bear Dashboard: https://glassno.de/recoveringbear
♟️ Mastering MVRV Dashboard:…
📟 Spotting Cycle Tops and Bottoms Dashboard: https://glassno.de/cycleextreme
🐻 Recovering From a Bitcoin Bear Dashboard: https://glassno.de/recoveringbear
♟️ Mastering MVRV Dashboard:…