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🇫🇷🚫 FROM LIBERALISM TO POLITICAL CENSORSHIP (discussion)

👉🏻 Important telegram channels discuss a striking paradox: liberal Western regimes, supposedly defenders of freedom, are the first to apply political censorship against their opponents.

👤 This is what Eva Bartlett, Tasmanian Diablo and Actualité FR observes.

🔎 And indeed, we can make the same observation in France. Thus, for several years, successive governments, while claiming their liberal and progressive vision, have skilfully censored contradictory discourses.

➡️ We have seen this on several occasions, with the pressure exerted against journalists from Mediapart, a far-left newspaper.

➡️ We have also seen it with the pressure exerted against blogs or sites of the extreme right, such as Démocratie Participative, a nationalist humoristic site, which has become the most censored site in Europe, since the creator of the site is the target of a Red Notice from Interpol and has taken refuge in Japan.

➡️ We have also seen it during the COVID crisis, when the newspaper France Soir was targeted by censorship and defamatory campaigns, because of the space it allowed for speeches critical of government policy.

➡️ Finally, we have seen it with the treatment given to Russian media in France: RT France and Sputnik have often been banned from participating in certain demonstrations, especially during the Yellow Vests. But they have also been prevented from participating in Macron's conferences. Since the crisis in Ukraine, they have been outright banned in France and closed.

ℹ️ Western liberal democracy, far from defending freedom, does not hesitate to use force and censorship against dissident opinions.

📌 A posture which is not surprising if we consider the famous sentence of the Revolutionaries of 1789: "No freedom for the enemies of freedom".

🗂️ #Discussion
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🇫🇷🗳 LEGISLATIVE ELECTIONS IN FRANCE: NO SURPRISES IN SIGHT?

👉🏻 In a few weeks the legislative elections in France will take place. They will determine the majority of the National Assembly and are therefore important: without a majority, President Macron will be totally blocked for 5 years, without the ability to govern.

👑 Actualité FR rightly points out that political power in France is in the hands of the parliament, not the president, even if this seems counterintuitive for a presidential regime.

Nevertheless, unlike Juan Sinmiedo and Russie Politics who seems to see a possibility for the opposition to triumph in the legislative elections, we are not convinced. For several reasons:

1️⃣ In France, elections are decided almost exclusively by the Baby Boom generation, which is very numerous and highly mobilized. They vote mostly to defend their economic interests, and therefore for Macron. And they are distributed in all the constituencies, so Macron should win.

2️⃣ The disaffection between the populist left and the populist right. Even if the Mélenchon bloc and the Le Pen bloc both hate Macron, they hate each other even more. Never will Mélenchon call for a vote for Le Pen's party to defeat a Macron candidate. And vice versa. This division is in itself completely artificial since the voters of these two parties are much less distant than it seems, they belong to the same segments of the population.

➡️ For these two reasons, it is likely that Macron will win the legislative election without difficulty, with certainly an increase in the share of opposition deputies. But we are betting that he will have a large majority.

ℹ️ And for good reason: if Macron doubted he would win, he would have dissolved the National Assembly in April to have a quick election to his advantage.

📌 Conclusion: no political change will happen in France through the ballot box as long as the Baby-Boom generation is so numerous, and this will last for about 20 years. Above all, no change will happen as long as the situation is so polarized between the extreme left and the extreme right, which could however ally against Macron.

🗂️ #Discussion
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