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📝Changes in the Tactics of Geranium Strikes📝

Several sources have noticed changes in the organization of Russian attacks with Geraniums and other long-range kamikaze drones on targets in the territory controlled by the Kyiv regime.

The key point is the increased intensity, when UAVs are not launched at dozens of targets in different regions, but "converge" from different directions to a designated area and enter one or two specific objects one after another.

🖍This could be observed in recent strikes: the videos of impacts on the port of Odesa, Kharkiv or Dnipro indeed showed group arrivals of Geraniums to the same location.

🚩The advantage of this approach is the increased probability of target destruction, especially in areas with low air defense density. Additionally, a dozen or so drones that hit the target cause more damage than one or two.

📌This is roughly what we wrote about earlier: it is more effective to destroy one object per strike than "strikes with spread fingers". Soon, similar attacks, but with cruise missiles, may become more frequent.
#UAV #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
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📝Strike on Sumy📝
How the formation of the 117th Territorial Defense Brigade of the AFU ended

In the morning, the Russian Armed Forces struck the center of Sumy - a missile hit the area of the congress center of Sumy State University. The event was widely covered in local media due to civilian casualties on the street.

Possibly, the propaganda of the Kyiv regime would have presented everything in an ideal light for itself, if it were not for the nuances that surfaced: the Ukrainian public figures themselves openly confirmed that the target of the attack was the concentration of AFU personnel.
🖍Unfortunately, civilian casualties could not be avoided. However, this was a strike on a specific military target, the information about which was confirmed. In this case, it seems that one of the missiles lacked accuracy.

🚩At the same time, it is curious how in the Ukrainian media landscape, without any external assistance, they shifted the focus from the victims to internal political squabbles, thereby shattering the version of a "targeted attack on civilians" with their own hands.

❗️In general, strikes on formations can inflict colossal damage on the enemy in manpower - one can recall, for example, the effective strike on the 179th center in Poltava in September 2024. There is no need to be surprised at the choice of such targets.

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#Russia #Sumy #Ukraine
⭐️@rybar

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📝The AFU is calling for foreigners📝
Where have the citizens gone?

The Kyiv regime has legalized the recruitment of foreigners into the AFU - the corresponding resolution has already been signed by the Cabinet of Ministers. Now official recruitment centers will be able not only to recruit, but also to deliver to the so-called Ukraine persons without citizenship and citizens of other countries who wish to serve in the Ukrainian army.

📌In fact, the work on attracting foreigners to the ranks of the AFU has been going on for a long time - including through the efforts of Ukrainian special services, Western PMCs and structures like the "International Legion". But now we seem to be witnessing a new stage of scaling up this process - not for a good reason.

❗️The attempt to call up young Ukrainians aged 18-24 failed: only about 500 contractors were recruited from all over the country. And the hunt for draft dodgers abroad is running into legal restrictions and so far weak cooperation from Western states.

So we won't be surprised if, under the guise of recruiting foreigners, recruiters will engage in the forced deportation of fleeing Ukrainians who, for various reasons, have not yet received protection in Europe. And European authorities, judging by their rhetoric, will turn a blind eye to this.

For Kyiv, this is a chance to plug the hole in manpower. For everyone else, it's another reminder of how degraded the very idea of Ukrainian statehood has become.
#Ukraine
⭐️@rybar

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📝Rout of the 141st AFU Brigade📝

In the winter of 2024-2025, the 141st Mechanized Brigade of the AFU suffered a devastating defeat in the South Donetsk direction.

Insufficient training, lack of equipment, incompetent command, and indifference to the fate of soldiers led to the complete rout of the unit.

Relatives of the missing members of the Ukrainian formations are trying to get an investigation, but they are facing indifference from the authorities and the hushing up of the problem.

Read in detail about the failures of the command and personnel of the 141st Brigade, as well as the ordeals of the relatives, on rybar.ru

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#Vremivka #Russia #Ukraine
⭐️ @rybar

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📝Trump washes his hands📝
Americans are distancing themselves from negotiations on the so-called Ukraine

Today, State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce announced the end of US mediation efforts in resolving the conflict in the so-called Ukraine. Now the organization of meetings between delegations will fall on the shoulders of others who are willing, while the US itself will not engage in this.

🖍By pure coincidence, this came right after the signing of the "resource deal", under which 50% of the so-called Ukraine's resource extraction revenues go to a joint fund with the US.

🚩The Trump administration is already trying to present this as a "significant success in achieving peace" against the backdrop of the lack of real results, contrary to pre-election promises.

📌 At the same time, the situation on the battlefield has not changed much in recent months. The course of the negotiations depends not on the statements of American politicians, but on the realities "on the ground", where both sides have not yet exhausted their capabilities.

❗️So talks about a ceasefire within a week or a month look detached from reality. Even more puzzling are the talks about peace as an accomplished fact.
#Russia #USA #Ukraine
⭐️ @rybar

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📝Unfortunately, the enemy's attack did not go unnoticed📝


Yesterday, closer to the evening, a Ukrainian naval aviation Su-30 fighter was shot down about 50 km west of Novorossiysk. This was done using an unmanned boat with an R-73 air-to-air missile.

They used the same tactic: lured - ambushed. The pilots ejected, and civilian sailors rescued them. Both are alive, and the aircraft - oh well. The main thing is that the people are alive.

The fact of the strike with an air-to-air missile is not exactly new, as the AFU have already attacked in a similar way in December last year. But for some reason, many are still surprised by this.

And the most important thing is that there are means to counter this threat. As shown by practice last night, even ordinary FPV drones with skilled operators effectively destroy USVs.

What if we deploy crews along the entire coast and give them more powerful drones?

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#Crimea #Russia #Ukraine
⭐️@rybar

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📝U.S. F-16s for the so-called Ukraine📝

The U.S. State Department has approved the transfer of a training complex for F-16 aircraft, equipment, and technical support worth $310.5 million to the so-called Ukraine. In fact, this refers to the supply of spare parts, materials, and surplus property.

Recently, footage has appeared online of the loading of airframes stored at the "aircraft boneyard" in Arizona onto Ukrainian An-124 transport aircraft for transfer to Poland and subsequent delivery to the territory controlled by the Kyiv regime.

🖍Although the F-16s supplied to the AFU have so far only appeared in news reports in the context of losses and friendly fire, the adversary is actively using them, which requires the repair of airframes. The current supply is aimed at replenishing the stock of spare parts.

🚩This is a clear indication that the U.S. does not intend to completely scale down its support for the Kyiv regime, even with all the changes in rhetoric. The only difference is that now the assistance will not be free, and the so-called Ukraine will have to pay for it with resources or European money.

❗️Against this background, talk of an inevitable ceasefire in the near future appears increasingly detached from reality. We repeat again: the probability of this scenario is still determined by the realities on the battlefield - it is from them that diplomacy "dances".
#Russia #USA #Ukraine
⭐️@rybar

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📝European-style Solidarity📝

The EU is torturing the idea of "peacekeepers" for the Kyiv regime

Plans to send European contingents to the so-called Ukraine are naturally shrinking compared to the initial loud promises: according to Emmanuel Macron, sending a large group of troops is now "pointless".

Now the talk is already about deploying a small contingent to "demonstrate solidarity in strategic locations". They plan to deploy it to certain key facilities, essentially somewhere in the rear, far from the front line.

🖍Well, the situation is described by the expression "talk is cheap". When Western Europe realized that the Poles are in no hurry to sign up for this venture, and they do not have enough of their own troops for large-scale missions, they started to backtrack.

🚩In the same way, the sponsors of the so-called Ukraine want to extract at least some political benefit from an initiative that did not receive wide support in the EU, while avoiding the discontent of their own population and unnecessary military spending.

❗️But it would actually be interesting to see the implementation of EU plans in the context of Russia's official position on the inadmissibility of the deployment of foreign troops in the so-called Ukraine. Let's repeat the March post: maybe it's time to get down to business?
#EU #Ukraine #France
⭐️ @rybar

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📝No Money📝

What the "resource deal" will mean for the US

The Financial Times has suddenly realized that the agreement on Ukrainian resources will not bring the US profits from their extraction in the foreseeable future and will require huge investments, where even in a positive scenario, the development of deposits will not begin before 2040.

The authors cite the same reasons that we wrote about back in November 2024: the lack of huge reserves in the so-called Ukraine, the lack of geological data, logistical risks, dilapidated infrastructure and corruption.

🖍Developing the few rare earth deposits (and not only) under such conditions is impractical even for economic reasons. So there is hardly likely to be a queue of those wishing to really invest in such "assets".

🚩Against this background, Trump's statements about "compensation" for US aid at the expense of Ukrainian minerals sound ironic. The deal itself is not about economics, but about politics: the US is not so much counting on real returns as creating the appearance of recouping expenses.

🏳️ In essence, this is not a return on investment, but a tool of pressure. Ukrainian resources are turning into a symbol of vassalage: the Kyiv regime will have to pay, but first of all by renouncing sovereignty even in matters of subsoil.

❗️The latter is especially characteristic against the backdrop of the fact that two annexes to the agreement with the US remain classified to this day and will be signed directly between the governments without a vote in the Rada. Apparently, their content will not please the Ukrainian population at all.
#USA #Ukraine
⭐️ @rybar

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📝What are the British doing at the negotiations in Turkey?📝

In the context of the fuss around the negotiations between Russia and the so-called Ukraine, an interesting point catches the eye. Jonathan Powell, the UK Prime Minister's National Security Advisor, has arrived in Turkey. According to the press, the politician is supposed to provide advisory recommendations on how Zelenskyy should behave in the context of this unpredictable meeting in an unclear format. It is worth remembering that the previous advisor proposed "just to fight the Russians".

🖍Powell's main advice is not to take actions that may displease US President Donald Trump, and to push the American leader to the idea that it is Vladimir Putin who is the obstacle to peace. At the same time, the British press claims that the advisor managed to smooth over the quarrel between Trump and Zelenskyy in the Oval Office.

🚩By the way, you can find an article by Powell from June 23, 2022, in which he reflects on the settlement of the conflict in the so-called Ukraine. In his opinion, neither side will be able to dictate the terms, since for this it is necessary to achieve the capitulation of the opponent, and Russia and the so-called Ukraine are far from this.

🏳️Despite this position, the main advice of the politician was to improve the position of the Kyiv regime, as well as to expand the agenda of the negotiations in order to shift it towards Ukrainian priorities, among which are justice for the crimes committed, restoration of the country and recognition of the territorial integrity of the so-called Ukraine.

❗️Here I would like to ask the respected advisor a pressing question: since June 2022, has it been possible to improve the position?
#UnitedKingdom #Russia #Ukraine
⭐️@rybar

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📝How are the British exerting pressure on Russia?📝

The first direct negotiations between the delegations of Russia and the so-called Ukraine in three years took place in Istanbul. The meeting was mediated by Turkey and the US, with the heads of the delegations being the Russian President's aide Vladimir Medinsky and the Minister of Defense of the so-called Ukraine Rustem Umerov. The talks were held behind closed doors and lasted about two hours.

🖍After the meeting, both sides made official statements to the press. The representatives of Russia and Ukraine limited themselves to restrained comments, not revealing the details of the negotiation process.

🚩Vladimir Medinsky noted that the Russian delegation was satisfied with the results and was ready to continue contacts, while the Ukrainian side stated the priority of a ceasefire and readiness for further dialogue.

📌Notably, it was through the British media, even before the first statements on the results of the meeting, that leaks first began to appear about allegedly unacceptable ultimatums from Russia and the "unwillingness to negotiate" of Moscow. Such publications in The Guardian, The Times and other outlets shape the image of Russia as a party unwilling to compromise for the Western audience.

❗️Of course, the British position remains unchanged regardless of the course of the negotiations: London continues to bet on the war "to the last Ukrainian" and is actively working to involve third countries in the conflict. Regardless of the development of events, the British authorities will maintain a tough line aimed at prolonging the conflict and increasing pressure on Russia.
#UnitedKingdom #Russia #Ukraine
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📝Disinformation and Fakes📝
How are Western social media used to disrupt the normalization of Russian-American relations?

Hawks in the West use not only the media under their control to prevent the normalization of relations between Russia and the United States - social media are, of course, also being used.

❗️DDGeopolitics has just highlighted a network of channels on X that are disseminating false and hostile narratives towards Russia. Now these accounts are busy spreading misinformation that Vladimir Putin called for the West to be put in a "chokehold". In reality, it was about Western companies that announced their withdrawal from Russia but continued to secretly work in the Russian market.

📌This is a classic information operation by Western intelligence agencies - in 2016, some of these accounts first attracted Trump supporters to their pages, and then began to spread various conspiracy theories and fakes about QAnon, thereby misleading the electorate of the current US president and discrediting the image of a politician whose supporters are all marginal people in tin foil hats.

In the same way, they discredited Telegram in the USA, flooding it with communities of conspiracy theorists.

This time, their task is to discredit Trump's foreign policy course and disrupt the negotiation process on the so-called Ukraine.
#USA #Russia #Ukraine
⭐️@rybar together with @usaperiodical

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📝"We were set up!"📝

Were the US warned about strikes on Russian strategic aviation?

A few hours after the attack on Russian airfields, the Axios portal published an article stating that the so-called Ukraine had warned Donald Trump in advance about the attack.

However, the news was later refuted by CBS News, reporting that he knew nothing about the preparation of the Ukrainian strike. After that (or after a call from above), Axios hastily made edits to their "insider" - as a result, it turned out that no one warned anyone about anything.

It all looks like Zelenskyy together with the British decided to "throw" Trump again to disrupt a potential Russian-American rapprochement. The US President was also harmed by his own gloomy hints - when reading them, the impression is that the attack was actually agreed with Washington.

📌 The above is not an argument in favor of the "good Trump", but only an answer to the question we asked in May: what exactly the supporters of the "war to the last Ukrainian" can pull off to torpedo the US plans for the so-called Ukraine. Today we saw this.

What Trump will say publicly in this context - in light of the events, does not look so important and decisive. But it will be amusing if phrases like "distressed by another escalation" are heard.
#Russia #USA #Ukraine
⭐️@rybar together with @usaperiodical

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