Western banks have enormous exposure to interest rate swaps.
That alone given interest rate volatility poses potential systemic risks.
Banks are in a far more precarious position now than in 2008. Not least in their asset / liability mismatch.
That alone given interest rate volatility poses potential systemic risks.
Banks are in a far more precarious position now than in 2008. Not least in their asset / liability mismatch.
π19
Reality playing out again.
Russian manufacturing grew at its fastest rate in 3.5 yrs in September due to production, new orders and client demand.
Russian manufacturing grew at its fastest rate in 3.5 yrs in September due to production, new orders and client demand.
π27
A Russian attack on a NATO ally would not necessarily lead to "all-out war", UK's Defence Secretary Ben Wallace said.
"Article 5 doesn't necessarily mean all-out war"
NATO again demonstrating it doesn't want to go to war directly with Russia.
"Article 5 doesn't necessarily mean all-out war"
NATO again demonstrating it doesn't want to go to war directly with Russia.
π23π12π€‘4π4
Then capitalisation of a bank is irrelevant if there is a crisis of confidence and clients run for the exits
π18
#winning
UK manufacturing output fell for a third month in a row in September and orders declined for a fourth consecutive month.
German manufacturing contracted for a third month.
French factory activity contracted at the fastest pace since May 2020.
Etc etc etc
UK manufacturing output fell for a third month in a row in September and orders declined for a fourth consecutive month.
German manufacturing contracted for a third month.
French factory activity contracted at the fastest pace since May 2020.
Etc etc etc
π18π±4π2π1π1π€‘1
Kwarteng:
High interest rates have been driven by the Fed. It is a global issue.
So it is now the fault of the US.
πππ
High interest rates have been driven by the Fed. It is a global issue.
So it is now the fault of the US.
πππ
π€‘29π5
Gazprom has told European gas customers that Nord Stream 2 is still able to transport gas despite the sabotage of both NS1 and NS2.
π30π1
Reality strikes again:
UK intends issuing exploration licences for offshore oil and gas. Even if, the big if, namely drilling is successful, it will likely take a decade before such reserves would be in production.
UK finally learning that the oil and gas supermarket is a myth
UK intends issuing exploration licences for offshore oil and gas. Even if, the big if, namely drilling is successful, it will likely take a decade before such reserves would be in production.
UK finally learning that the oil and gas supermarket is a myth
π32π€‘10
The US is failing rapidly as an empire because it seeks to destroy Russia via the Ukraine war, attempting to draw China into a similar conflict with Taiwan and is clearly behind another attempt to implement regime change in Iran. Their desperation is obvious.
π38π€‘17
When a nation's currency is rejected they end up printing their own money.
When you look at the huge growth of the Fed balance sheet, when trillions were printed, it is because no-one was prepared to buy US debt and hence why de-dollarisation is ongoing.
When you look at the huge growth of the Fed balance sheet, when trillions were printed, it is because no-one was prepared to buy US debt and hence why de-dollarisation is ongoing.
π39
The fabricated demand for USTs that has been implemented since 2008 is mind bending.
USTs via interest rate swaps.
Ask yourself why your fintwit heroes never discuss this?
USTs via interest rate swaps.
Ask yourself why your fintwit heroes never discuss this?
π19
So now it is back to the usual strategy, punishing austerity.
The timing couldn't be any worse. UK is a clown show on steroids.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/kwarteng-cuts-tax-truss-budget-b2191341.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Main&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1664783325
The timing couldn't be any worse. UK is a clown show on steroids.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/kwarteng-cuts-tax-truss-budget-b2191341.html?utm_content=Echobox&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Main&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=1664783325
The Independent
Kwarteng confirms further cuts of up to Β£18bn for public services
Budgets will not be topped up to take account of soaring inflation, chancellor says
π€‘24π3π2
Gold and Silver spiking
Equities spiking
Has something leaked somewhere about a Fed policy shift?
We will know soon enough.
Equities spiking
Has something leaked somewhere about a Fed policy shift?
We will know soon enough.
β‘23
Sure UK has never done anything remotely like this since.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/britain-secretly-backed-mussolinis-march-on-rome-pzsr2hpb8
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/britain-secretly-backed-mussolinis-march-on-rome-pzsr2hpb8
www.thetimes.co.uk
Britain βsecretly backedβ Mussoliniβs March on Rome
Benito Mussoliniβs seizure of power in Italy in 1922 was secretly assisted by the British government, which bet on the fascist dictator to protect its interests
π21π€¬6π3π₯1
Back in early spring 2021, Washington tried to strike a deal with Russia, namely they could have Donbass in return for Moscow ending Nord Stream 2.
π€22π3π₯2
If you fight endless wars, implement regime change, impose sanctions, install puppet leaders, destroy nations economically and financially, have 800+ global bases, spend 750bn annually on military budget to preserve your WRC, you will also massively manipulate your currency.
π41
European unity at its finest:
Poland is now officially demanding $1.3tn from Germany for WW2 reparations after the Polish Foreign Ministry made an official declaration in writing.
Poland is now officially demanding $1.3tn from Germany for WW2 reparations after the Polish Foreign Ministry made an official declaration in writing.
π33π3π2π©2π€‘2
It's only resilient because of the injection of QE. Without it gilt yields would keep rising.
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/exclusive-uk-gilt-market-resilient-despite-major-repricing-debt-office-head-2022-10-04/
https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/exclusive-uk-gilt-market-resilient-despite-major-repricing-debt-office-head-2022-10-04/
Reuters
Exclusive: UK gilt market resilient despite 'major repricing,' debt office head says
Britain's bond market is undergoing "a major repricing", but should comfortably absorb the extra 62 billion pounds ($69 billion) of debt announced after finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng's , the head of the UK Debt Management Office (DMO) said on Monday.
π5π₯5
Europe facing the reality they chose to embrace.
Bank Of Spain:
It has seen a deterioration in the economic and financial position of companies who have the most exposure to the spike in energy prices.
In other news, night does indeed follow day.
Bank Of Spain:
It has seen a deterioration in the economic and financial position of companies who have the most exposure to the spike in energy prices.
In other news, night does indeed follow day.
π16π4π3π₯1
All in it together
EU commissioners are calling for joint EU borrowing to deal with the energy crisis.
Borrowing from who exactly? The ECB?
I thought there wasn't a crisis, they had it under control. That is what they keep telling us.
EU commissioners are calling for joint EU borrowing to deal with the energy crisis.
Borrowing from who exactly? The ECB?
I thought there wasn't a crisis, they had it under control. That is what they keep telling us.
π26π6π3