Here are three great beginner’s guides to DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs...

- Beginner’s Guide to DeFi (Jan 2020)

https://nakamoto.com/beginners-guide-to-defi/

- Beginner’s Guide to NFTs (Jan 2021)

https://linda.mirror.xyz/df649d61efb92c910464a4e74ae213c4cab150b9cbcc4b7fb6090fc77881a95d

- Beginner’s guide to DAOs (Mar 2021)

https://linda.mirror.xyz/Vh8K4leCGEO06_qSGx-vS5lvgUqhqkCz9ut81WwCP2o

This article captures my thoughts pretty well on what to expect from Ethereum the next 18 months... https://cointelegraph.com/news/deflationary-eth2-could-flip-bitcoin-messari-analyst

Here is this week's issue of Coinstack. Early Google Doc edition for Telegram subscribers.

Coinstack #15 - Why Ethereum Will Beat Bitcoin by 2025

https://docs.google.com/document/d/1p2X39nDH6X-751aA4MYgezlm-NEDqEvkOhb8HZ3B74A/edit#

This week's issue is now live:
https://coinstack.substack.com/p/ethereum-will-beat-bitcoin-by-2025

A great graphic from Messari comparing the old monetary system to the new global decentalized monetary system being developed this decade.

Here are some 2021 Bitcoin Cycle Top Analyst Estimates, ranging from $84k on the low end to $288k on the high end. Still a ways to go...

Here are the 13 indicators I use to determine when we have reached a Bitcoin market cycle top. Every single one of them indicates we aren't there yet (and are likely 4-8 months away).

Here's the spreadsheet I use to keep track of all the Bitcoin Cycle Top Indicators so you can check them out yourself.

Most are very easy to use (sell in red, buy in green, etc.)

I'll be writing about them all in Monday's edition of Coinstack 🙂

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cTh91yq68cSF3UslPbWSFT6Y6EvVl2r6VIbaySuBnMg/edit#gid=307177014

Bitcoin... the best performing asset class of the last decade. Averaging 225% per year for the last 10+ years. 👍👍👍

I have created a Bitcoin Price Forecast for 2021-2027

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cTh91yq68cSF3UslPbWSFT6Y6EvVl2r6VIbaySuBnMg/edit#gid=1207284154

Also see tab 2 - Key Top & Bottom Indicators

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cTh91yq68cSF3UslPbWSFT6Y6EvVl2r6VIbaySuBnMg/edit#gid=307177014

I create these to help me in my own analysis. I share them to help.

My current expected case scenario currently is that BTC increases to ~$150k by late 2021, and then comes back down around 60% to around $60k by October 2022, before resuming upward momentum.

Some notes on the Bitcoin Price Forecast:
All forecasts are guaranteed to be wrong in some way.
I offer ranges from high to low based in the forecast.
These ranges are only my guesses only. Please DYOR.
Modeling based on the four year cycle of Bitcoin, based on its supply and halving schedule as well as the past three cycles -- as well as based on Rekt Capital, Willy Woo, and Pantera Capital's forecasts.
I am also taking into account the total market cap of gold ($11T) as a upper bound for the 2024-2027 cycle
On an annual basis, Bitcoin has only had overall annual declines in the 3rd year of its cycle (2014 and 2018). It historically has peaked in year 2 of its cycle. See Rekt Capital newsletter for more. This is why I'm relatively confident we will get overheated by end of 2021 and then come back down to earth in 2022. The only question is, where is the 2021 top and where is the 2022 bottom. I predict around $150k for the 2021 top and around $60k for the 2022 bottom before resuming substantial upward appreciation.
In the 2024-2027 cycle I anticipate Bitcoin's price will increase substantially however not fully keep up with the Stock to Flow model's predictions due PoW becoming outdated and capital being funneled to less inflationary PoS cryptocurrencies with lower issuances (i.e. Ethereum 2.0)

Please ask any questions in the comments and I'll do my best to reply 🙂

Note that I am sharing expected case scenarios above. In the actual sheet I also provide 5 scenarios (lowest, low, expected, high, and highest).

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1cTh91yq68cSF3UslPbWSFT6Y6EvVl2r6VIbaySuBnMg/edit#gid=1207284154

I'm relatively obsessed with figuring this out as if you can time the Bitcoin market you can essentially time the market trends for all other blockchain based investments. This ability will go away as Bitcoin becomes less prominent in the overall blockchain ecosystem by 2025.

Here's a chart of the expected case scenarios for 2021-2027. See above for link to spreadsheet model.

So BitClout is the new decentralized Twitter. You can follow me there under the @ryanallis username.

Here’s where we are in the current cycle...

If you’d like an early invite to join BitClout, the new decentralized social network, just comment on this post and I will send you the sign up link. It’s early and experimental, but really awesome!

Coinstats users are generally experienced crypto investors who need to keep track of multiple wallet and exchange accounts. Of their users, 48.5% hold Bitcoin while 52.5% hold Ethereum (their largest coin by hold %). Interesting to see where the smart money is moving.

In case anyone wants the BitClout invite (the new decentralized social network), here it is:

https://bitclout.com?password=4acd346eb806c2a0295aa36db6c9aaddd391533f3dc47f84579a25449d134126

A pro tip is to buy your own creator coin as soon as you join as the first first tokens are the least expensive by far.

You can follow me at https://bitclout.com/u/ryanallis. Up to 53 followers there so far. I plan to use it as my main social network, replacing Twitter over the next few months. What I like about it is everyone on there is a Bitcoin owner, so it leads to some fascinating crypto discussions. You also get paid to be a creator by way of your creator coin, that everyone gets when they join.

If you have a good following definitely join. Our community has invested $25.4k into my creator coin the first 24 hours and the price has gone from $1 to $1397 so far, making our early backers a good paper return so far.

I am now working on the weekly CoinStack newsletter which will go out in the next 24 hours. This week's issue will be about Bitcoin Price Forecasting.

Here is this week's issue of Coinstack - early edition as a Google Doc - https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Sz5S_gGaTriN-bP0e5yeJPjM_F0vEHDb92jzT4hDhjw/edit#