JK @mytradingspace 🚀
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trade futures for living
#FCPO #BTC #HODL
posts charts, trading, mindset, good food, fun in life ;-)

📱 Tg: @mytradingspace
📸 IG: @traderjeannek
🐣 Twitter: @jeannekong
📍Kuala Lumpur, MY
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JK @mytradingspace 🚀
fed rate cuts (which I had a hunch will come in 2nd half 🤷🏻‍♀️)
lower CPI
= inflation cooling
= more room for #ratecut
(altho fed always be very late)

IF: rate cuts

= weaker dollar 🧻
= bullish risk assets & inflation/value hedge
= bullish $BTC 🥇 (& gold, cmdty, PMs)

↗️
technical wise, $BTC htf suggests another up leg to either retest or exceed ATH $109k, most likely the final wave of this bull cycle.
(yes, still hodling my 80k btfd swing)
(will update my btc htf wave count when available)

👀 i like to see whether/how the macro pieces slowly fall into place to back what I see on charts.
(2/n 🧩 & counting… ;p)

⚠️Risk:
• Trump tariffs (may strengthen dollar)
• CPI sticky >2% (no rate cuts)
• black swan (across-the-board sell off)


Feb: $109k, expensive 😒
Mar: $79k, -30% raya sales, FEAR 😨
high, don’t wanna buy; discount, too scared to buy,
in the end fomo buy >ATH
dats, general sentiment in the crypto market & my crypto chats rn.

💭
buy low, sell high
or sell high, buy low

making money in the financial markets is as simple as dat. I feel the key differentiator btw winning & bleeding lies in the process itself—are your trade decisions run by logic, or run by emotions, or worse, ego?

logic > survival instincts,
logic > power of crowd,
logic > need to feel good
logic > need to belong in group

where’s the group in the markets?
the 90% losers. #apetogetherstrong 🦍
(stay strong, BAYC hodlers🥶)

it’s against human nature to be the winning 10% minority, which is why it’s hard to trade well, need to rewire our ape brain, thus why it’s a winning edge if mastered.

Yes, mastered.
no, im not gonna say anything bout dat magically wake up and make money while sleeping using autotrade EAs whilst trading the most efficient market on planet Earth on your mobile phone with 0 skills yet miraculously winning against MIT grad citi fx desk traders with McKenzie research reports trading 8 screens with live feed updates from bloomberg terminals…
no, din say nothing

(sorry, was a draft, mis click send at midnite, lmao, rekt)

#macro
#lilgameplan 🧩
#thx4readingmyblas
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chart analysis:
It’s a 99% +ev setup to upgrade your god dem phone📱

report by:
proud (finally unable to update new iOS) iPhoneX owner

☠️📱
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These 2 words appearing together on the headline is already a loud ringing alert 🔔

msm likes to push narratives as instructed by their puppet masters, while fools (got brain but lazy to think) who heard it on the evening news exacerbates the situation by doing the ‘crowd thing’, stirring fear among weak hands to sell more, msm screams louder when price dips…. Rinse & repeat 🔁

Tesla financials are fine, positive cash flows, EV still the future of automobiles. despite imminent challenge from chinese automakers, EV market pie is getting bigger, plus US Tesla shielded by tariffs.

And clear-headed traders on the side sees this gross mis pricing (price halved while no drastic change to tsla finance,mgmt, outlook)

We go in and back the asset with our money, market eventually reprice to fair value, we get rewarded with price discovery.

I’m planting my btc profits into longterm growth stocks port, and Tesla will def get a sizable slice of it 🍰 support! 💪🏻

$TSLA 🚘🤖
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#FOMC tonite

FedWatch: 99% hold rate

Key: J POW’s speech, tone, any members vote against holding rates, etc.

**will update this post upon rate decision
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Forwarded from jeanne.k
#FOMC
Fed held rates steady @ 4.25-4.50%
key points from J POW speech
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$BTC Perp Long

1st long cut…
2nd long, finally break into HH on fomc boost, let’s keep it dat way.
quick target: 92-94k 🥇
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$FCPO long
took some & keep some…
intend to squeeze this rally to pay for my coming trip.

Told my corp fren I study my trades, charts, PA, possible next market trends on weekends. she goes 🙈😱🤪

I look at most things including my shopping from the RR perspective. what’s my reward (eg. feel good getting new bag, informative conversations, rejuvenating getaways, bonding) & what’s the risk (depreciating goods, $$$$$ burned, opportunity cost, feeling drained, time wasted)…

80% of the time I’m able to make +ev decisions, while the other 20% time force to entertain 应酬 & 无效社交, hv to console myself as a chance to test market sentiment 🥹

When your decisions is tied to your financial outcome, you’ll work hard to make it +ev. For a job taker it’s prolly an annual assessment; for a trader, is every fucking minute & every trade counts.

the intensity+risk is always proportional to the magnitude of reward.

back to the pages 📖
Happy long weekend! 🎉⭐️
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Education of a Speculator 📚
2
JK @mytradingspace 🚀
$BTC perp added long low risk target 🦋, next 🍊
$BTC perp

86-87k long cut
80-81k long tp

short avg 83.7k
partial tp ~82k

left some for lower targets $79.2-80.2k 🟣 with ts, not monitoring. happy holidays
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AI 🤖

tl;dr
(scroll to bottom)

with AI, I mean generally: chipmakers, LLM models, humanoids, agents, self driving EV,..etc

If you’re a Bitcoiner, think:
AI today = 2016-17 crypto


I know not many are that OG, so let me expand dat a bit…

in 2016, BTC kinda went from $$$ to solidly above $$$$. Then we have CME futures launch, and we took off with influx of new punters (yes, coz it’s all still very much a bet back then), we then saw the glorious every-week-new-ATH 2017, went from $$$$ to solid $$$$$.

Price discovery > Hype > new retail moneys > overheat > price front run real value

Price was $19,000/btc, but there was barely any infrastructure to support blockchain deployment.

Then 2018-19, crashed 85%, price revert to match real value. Infrastructure starts developing quietly ($LINK era)

Then 2020, Covid, crashes further, at that time it was: price < real value, ppl who logically saw dat is easily multi-millionaires today.

***

Back to AI,

I think we at:
AI ala btc2017
HYPE CYCLE


• hype, overpriced on prospective value, still lack mass market infrastructure)

What’s next:
AI ala btc2018,19
BUILD CYCLE


• price revert to reflect current values
• real infrastructure development takes place rapidly but often quietly (as typically heavy capex, no flashy report cards, thus no catchy headlines)
• typical PA: quiet bottom building, price < or = real values.

What’s next:
AI ala btc2021-25
TAKE OFF CYCLE


• price = real values
• slowly one by one big moneys start announcing their AI interests
• price > real values
• flashy headlines exaggerating potential values
• retails FOMO in
• price >>> real values
• early moneys, big moneys, smart moneys sell to late retails.
• deep retracements



What’s next:
STEADY GROWTH ERA

Eventually, price goes back to steadily-up longterm (Warren Buffett style)

tl;dr
AI now kinda hyped up & overpriced, first bubble soon to burst, there’s potential gains buying in build cycle & selling in take off/ longterm growth cycle.
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+24% tariff on Msia>US exports

I think affect semicond the most, added cost to the sub jobs to Msia originally trying to get around China-US tariffs.

mild impact on CPO exports (we actually ship more to Europe than US). anw, today down in sympathy.
Macro tonight

NFP
Fed Chair Speaks

- important to hear J. Pow stance after Trump worldwide tariffs

*will update post once data is out
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;-)

lots of learning watching candles unfold in a fast moving markets. but will definitely sit on my hands.

a whole week to drink coffee, watch the volatility, read books, study new stuff…

don’t think this is THE crash imo, not yet…

till the dust settles… then 🎣
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10yr spiked, SOFR spread negative, then Dimon speaks,

definitely not random…🙃